Noteworthy-Tick
0xc132c73c8ebbbdaba2a3b160658868af11a4009d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$22.78
Total PnL
$-1.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- HAWKS
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- BULLS
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.49
$0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bulls (-5.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hawks (-2.5)$1.00Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.03Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?$1.00Jan 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.00Jan 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.57Jan 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.75Jan 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Cup?$1.82Jan 14, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.07Jan 14, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.00Dec 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Dec 15, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.