Raw-Contributor
0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$12.8K
Total PnL
$2.0K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
84%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
1256 shares @ 63.7¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$778.51
$-21.49
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
2912 shares @ 24.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$771.77
$65.44
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
869 shares @ 86.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$760.72
$10.72
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
1476 shares @ 39.9¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$664.11
$75.71
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
2066 shares @ 30.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$619.70
$-15.94
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
841 shares @ 65.4¢·now 66.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$560.30
$10.30
- YES
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
628 shares @ 79.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$477.30
$-22.70
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
954 shares @ 42.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$472.33
$70.56
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2020 shares @ 25.1¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$470.61
$-35.35
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
485 shares @ 79.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$421.80
$35.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$17.07Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$178.30Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$20.73Jun 13, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$66.67Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.3KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$400.26Jun 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$800.14Jun 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.01Jun 13, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$12.89Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.08Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$15.29Jun 13, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$820.37Jun 12, 23:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 12, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$10.21Jun 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.16Jun 12, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.7KJun 12, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$5.49Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$5.80Jun 12, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 8?$100.00Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $196.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.