Raw-Contributor
0xc624cccd414dc90ea329f06cf535fafa40d2ee24
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
93
Open notional
$11.4K
Total PnL
$962.00
Realised
$460.78
Win rate
82%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
1262 shares @ 68.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$143.76
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
916 shares @ 92.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$902.71
$51.49
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2388 shares @ 29.1¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$859.79
$164.79
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1764 shares @ 43.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$608.38
$-156.20
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
628 shares @ 88.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$559.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
963 shares @ 41.8¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$519.80
$117.26
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1282 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$429.49
$-70.51
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
449 shares @ 78.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$388.33
$37.34
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1009 shares @ 26.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$358.35
$91.07
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1246 shares @ 28.9¢·now 27.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$347.03
$-12.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$14.182h ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$8.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (April 20 - 26)$8.667h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)$10.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)$25.009h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$49.389h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$10.009h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$30.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYTim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?$15.0011h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$49.2012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$25.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$50.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$50.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$40.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.0013h ago
- YIELD$0.0113h ago
- REWARD$1.2413h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$45.0018h ago
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$76.0620h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$35.0021h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $81.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.