Official-Lollipop
0xcbcf1b4487ce8553b8205439db04603bbeadba89
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$515.96
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-790.78
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
809 shares @ 67.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.88
$-383.13
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.57
$-21.43
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
289 shares @ 27.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.65
$-29.35
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
515 shares @ 16.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.94
$-37.86
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
24 shares @ 63.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.22
$6.10
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
528 shares @ 17.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.41
$-79.59
- NO
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$10.50
$5.34
- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?
12 shares @ 48.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.38
$4.62
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
12 shares @ 44.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.21
$5.04
- NO
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.96
$2.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner$2.43Jun 12, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner$2.23Jun 12, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$3.66Jun 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$3.35Jun 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)$2.44Jun 11, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres$2.04Jun 10, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$2.33Jun 8, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$1.94Jun 8, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$11.00Jun 8, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$10.87Jun 8, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$5.00Jun 7, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMCall of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner$5.25Jun 7, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMGolden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces$10.00Jun 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCall of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas - Game 2 Winner$3.14Jun 7, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers$2.19Jun 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$2.19Jun 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces$2.99Jun 6, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces$2.99Jun 6, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)$2.49Jun 6, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMPhoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire$5.00Jun 6, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.