Pessimistic-Ski-Texture
0xcfdceaac4912b9a56ce2d837269270c0bff85a2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$8.4K
Total PnL
$410.00
Realised
$90.40
Win rate
68%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$775.00
$195.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
800 shares @ 78.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$684.25
$58.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 83.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$543.00
$39.46
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 22.7¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$465.99
$11.55
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
387 shares @ 89.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$383.44
$39.16
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
400 shares @ 91.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$375.40
$8.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$321.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
300 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$262.50
$13.50
- NO
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
308 shares @ 71.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$258.51
$38.39
- NO
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
400 shares @ 57.3¢·now 57.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$229.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$164.00Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$0.00Jun 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump attend his son's wedding?$0.00Jun 13, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$60.38Jun 8, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$25.41Jun 8, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$300.00Jun 8, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$103.75Jun 8, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$74.44Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$89.58Jun 4, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$69.14Jun 4, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $159.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.