Partial-Comb
0xd1373135de8c0e051e4f71723d75c9445d45ceac
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-239.78
Realised
$-115.80
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
974 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$974.00
$711.02
- U 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
922 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$788.31
$-4.61
- AFGHANISTAN
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
519 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$267.29
$158.29
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
153 shares @ 14.1¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$140.22
$118.65
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
155 shares @ 79.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$84.47
$-37.98
- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
70 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$70.00
$25.90
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
42 shares @ 65.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$38.01
$10.71
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
39 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.25
$9.75
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 78.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.68
$3.96
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$6.80Jun 15, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$42.96Apr 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$48.33Apr 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?$50.37Apr 21, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$78.20Apr 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$80.04Apr 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?$79.54Apr 9, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$122.45Apr 8, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$23.00Apr 8, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$100.00Apr 8, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?$44.82Apr 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?$218.16Apr 7, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?$51.48Mar 31, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?$21.89Mar 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$55.80Mar 31, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$120.20Mar 31, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?$12.16Mar 30, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?$674.04Mar 29, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?$8.96Mar 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$54.23Mar 29, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $144.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.