Tangible-Conduct
0xd215604aaf30cfef99482dbd1deed7ab47eab4ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-967.85
Realised
$-539.29
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
1167 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.2K
$863.58
- NO
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?
1138 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$1.1K
$432.44
- NO
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22?
703 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$703.00
$210.90
- SRI LANKA
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
679 shares @ 72.3¢·now 78.3¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$531.66
$40.74
- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
527 shares @ 65.8¢·now 72.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$384.18
$37.42
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
105 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$105.00
$23.10
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 25.8¢·now 49.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.16
$20.23
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
23 shares @ 62.5¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.68
$6.31
- JACKSONVILLE STATE GAMECOCKS
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks
5 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.99
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?$184.96Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?$205.02Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?$253.26Apr 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?$228.48Apr 24, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$14.72Apr 21, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$221.76Apr 21, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$57.59Apr 21, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$17.68Apr 21, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$27.14Apr 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$291.06Apr 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$486.60Apr 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$398.64Apr 13, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$3.96Apr 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$414.75Apr 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$317.52Apr 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$387.24Apr 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$83.00Apr 13, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?$788.76Apr 13, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$478.49Apr 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$390.40Apr 12, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $253.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.