Strict-Geek
0xd49d7b8c89a7ac72b0d6e84f0690e423637fc12b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$65.06
Total PnL
$-62.71
Realised
$-4.42
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 91.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.30
$0.18
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.88
$0.09
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
4 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.56
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
3 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.43
$0.01
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 83.9¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.32
$-0.06
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.22
$0.04
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.71May 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.71May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 17, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 17, 13:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$8.70May 15, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?$1.86May 14, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.99May 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.93May 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.99May 14, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5$2.42May 14, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.03May 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.03May 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.01May 14, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.83May 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$0.01May 14, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".