Calm-Content
0xd51e71f285df4a2f2ad2b8231f5097bd0e061ce6
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$762.65
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-53.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
438 shares @ 55.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$273.84
$32.86
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
389 shares @ 59.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$243.11
$13.43
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
244 shares @ 60.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$93.90
$-52.44
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
158 shares @ 66.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.28
$-53.01
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.43
$-3.57
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Lakers
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$19.87
$-0.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$19.79
$-0.21
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
35 shares @ 42.6¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$14.42
$-0.58
- SUNS
76ers vs. Suns
583 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-302.96
- FLAMES
Flames vs. Ducks
500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$50.496h ago
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$20.136h ago
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$15.266h ago
- REDEEMThunder vs. Suns$3.686h ago
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Raptors$49.106h ago
- YIELD$0.0314h ago
- YIELD$0.032d ago
- YIELD$0.033d ago
- YIELD$0.034d ago
- YIELD$0.025d ago
- YIELD$0.026d ago
- YIELD$0.027d ago
- YIELD$0.028d ago
- YIELD$0.029d ago
- YIELD$0.0210d ago
- YIELD$0.0211d ago
- YIELD$0.0212d ago
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$3.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Suns$3.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Raptors$20.0012d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $18.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 30d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
