Experienced-Hypothesis
0xda88bbcd37d8a674f0fcdfe616398e288fdb97d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$125.76
Total PnL
$-400.55
Realised
$11.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
185 shares @ 64.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$108.49
$-11.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 26?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$8.62
$-1.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
169 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
117 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$333.24May 25, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$101.75May 25, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$90.25May 25, 19:36 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$30.12May 25, 19:33 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00May 25, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$51.54May 25, 19:29 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$0.00May 25, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:20 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.00May 25, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:05 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$200.00May 25, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00May 25, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$340.00May 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$71.86May 25, 18:06 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$340.00May 25, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $70.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 14:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".