Rectangular-Audit
0xdcddf0c728624b76b2955c04cde35cc38f5173a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$-63.5K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3116 shares @ 75.6¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.3K
$-7.98
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
1293 shares @ 26.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$992.93
$656.93
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1248 shares @ 72.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$954.96
$54.96
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2439 shares @ 41.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$768.29
$-231.71
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 93.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$385.61
$10.61
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1022 shares @ 19.6¢·now 28.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.81
$92.81
- YES
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
3905 shares @ 10.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$253.86
$-146.14
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
188 shares @ 40.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$186.84
$111.84
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$182.50
$82.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
1338 shares @ 14.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$120.45
$-79.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.38Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?$105.46Jul 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?$213.32Jul 27, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$213.20Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$879.70Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$30.7KJul 27, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$3.0KJul 27, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$10.00Jul 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$206.80Jul 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$404.38Jul 26, 22:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.45Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$400.00Jul 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.5KJul 24, 10:19 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.78Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $420.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.