Utter-Orient
0xe90fe094286107ab146138930fb878869702131e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-299.03
Realised
$-79.76
Win rate
28%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
315 shares @ 78.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.31
$-6.18
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
631 shares @ 36.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$223.85
$-3.57
- YES
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
169 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$168.43
$7.38
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
153 shares @ 58.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$87.89
$-1.48
- NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
123 shares @ 69.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$85.70
$0.23
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
157 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$77.86
$-0.79
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
505 shares @ 10.7¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.50
$1.60
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
38 shares @ 82.6¢·now 82.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.58
$-0.10
- NO
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
38 shares @ 32.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.93
$15.77
- NO
Trump goes to space in 2026?
22 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.85
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$39.24Jul 29, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.45Jul 29, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.60Jul 29, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$82.26Jul 29, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$6.93Jul 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.50Jul 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$15.17Jul 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$34.39Jul 29, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$80.62Jul 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$40.24Jul 29, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$33.80Jul 29, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$4.05Jul 29, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$75.11Jul 29, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?$1.38Jul 29, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$5.68Jul 29, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$0.00Jul 29, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?$0.00Jul 29, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels$0.00Jul 29, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$0.00Jul 29, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.52Jul 29, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
28% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.