Needy-Lunchmeat
0xe9f9a050de61bcb6c803f88be55293a4ce99cdf1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$52.66
Total PnL
$-108.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
23 shares @ 66.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.32
$-0.68
- NO
Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 90.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.26
$6.26
- YES
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 74.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-7.79
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?
11 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.02
$-1.98
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$5.00Jul 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?$5.00Jul 31, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$10.33Jul 31, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.17Jul 20, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.78Jul 19, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$15.47Jul 15, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to score first vs. Switzerland?$7.81Jul 12, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$11.36Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$2.03Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$5.13Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.14Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$10.36Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. Switzerland?$5.09Jul 12, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$25.00Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6.67Jun 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$5.12Jun 15, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)$10.17May 10, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$10.10May 9, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 3.5 Rounds$10.13May 9, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.