Quarrelsome-Origin
0xea45124c26c5fe50ab6d7786776b47f42da7284c
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$57.0K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
29628 shares @ 79.2¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.7K
$4.3K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.6K
$-50.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
9774 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.0K
$52.09
- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
6760 shares @ 83.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.6K
$-17.20
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6073 shares @ 39.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.5K
$104.92
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1681 shares @ 80.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-34.09
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1196 shares @ 93.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$58.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
9691 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.37May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.6KMay 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$7.6KMay 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$5.7KMay 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.4KMay 17, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.6KMay 17, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.9KMay 17, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$14.3KMay 17, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$64.4KMay 17, 17:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 17, 17:43 UTC → May 17, 17:38 UTC
- BUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$5.7K@84¢May 17, 17:38 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
30d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$5.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $8.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".