Used-Jack
0xea4ddcbf18a018dae3cbf8a85b9a9c8c04fdc654
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$96.21
Total PnL
$-35.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?
14 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$13.84
$-0.03
- NO
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 53.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.47
$9.72
- NO
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
13 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$12.69
$1.04
- NO
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?
13 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.59
$0.00
- NO
Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.05
$0.11
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
26 shares @ 54.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.23
$-5.88
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
16 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.91
$0.73
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
19 shares @ 77.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.74
$-9.24
- NO
Will Milady floor price reach 6 ETH before 2027?
7 shares @ 85.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.38
$-0.56
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
26 shares @ 94.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-21.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?$16.92Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS defaults on debt by 2027?$18.38Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$29.22Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19.50Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?$34.46Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?$0.00Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$0.00Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.00Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$10.29Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$11.96Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$12.67Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?$14.21Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?$14.72Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$15.84Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$18.10Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$19.20Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$19.79Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$36.40Jul 5, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $23.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.