Wallet digest

active

Activity score

74/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$382.86

Total PnL

$-367.91

Realised

$2.62

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 32

NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
36 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$36.05
$2.38
NO
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
36 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$34.03
$-0.60
NO
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
30 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026
$29.08
$0.31
YES
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$19.69
$0.21
NO
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$19.52
$-0.03
NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
19 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$19.09
$0.41
NO
US defaults on debt by 2027?
19 shares @ 96.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$18.02
$-0.38
NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
18 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$17.62
$1.33
NO
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027
$16.94
$-0.09
NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
16 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$15.80
$0.36

Recent activity

YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:11 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity65 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry13 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk62 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 24
Avg trade size: $268.56
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 22, 12:56 UTC
Last active: Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 04:31:30 UTC·src:Polymarket Data