Innocent-Episode
0xead230c070619dea0d9927e3b171305d936f3bce
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$94.75
Total PnL
$-20.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
122 shares @ 24.6¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$32.24
$2.24
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
31 shares @ 49.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$23.57
$8.57
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 64.6¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.18
$-12.82
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.38
$-2.63
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
98 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
72 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?$15.232h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$5.333d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$21.083d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026?$30.423d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$10.553d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$0.009d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.0012d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$6.4513d ago
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$14.4213d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$3.4113d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$0.3713d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?$47.1813d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$48.3714d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?$10.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?$1.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$15.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?$5.0014d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $12.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 37d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
