Shy-Duffel
0xeb56a0567b4810261810dab9a1cf27d165c3078e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$25.20
Total PnL
$-6.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 45.1¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.60
$0.60
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 47.1¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.51
$-0.49
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.64
$1.64
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.59
$-0.41
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.03May 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.00May 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.22May 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.12May 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.52May 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.37May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.02May 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.03May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$2.05May 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$1.00May 12, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$2.04May 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$1.00May 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.00May 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.00May 12, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$12.91May 12, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?$1.03May 4, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$1.02May 4, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 4, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".