Mealy-Tenet
0xf72390debf135a4f486c19dbb08de4b1e110b404
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$48.46
Total PnL
$-112.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
29 shares @ 34.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.53
$2.53
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$11.82
$1.82
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
14 shares @ 35.7¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.60
$0.60
- YES
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 24.5¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
27 shares @ 36.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.99
$-6.01
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
78 shares @ 12.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.71
$-7.29
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
563 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.25May 17, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.35May 17, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 16, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.15May 16, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$10.00May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1.44May 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$7.97May 16, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$8.72May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$8.32May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.74May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$3.11May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$10.18May 14, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$4.63May 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00May 11, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$5.10May 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 11, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$10.42May 11, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?$5.18May 11, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 10, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 6, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $18.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 15:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".