Nimble-Pump-Giant
0xfc4250b98c0fe1057da74e701cc34006525f9ff2
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$38.60
Total PnL
$-1.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
5 shares @ 80.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.81
$0.11
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 80.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.55
$0.20
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$0.12
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
47 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$0.00May 17, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$2.35May 17, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.35May 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.71May 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$1.00May 17, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?$1.07May 17, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?$1.00May 17, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?$1.02May 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Harvard" on Truth Social this week?$1.01May 17, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.62May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.22May 17, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3.06May 16, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$1.00May 16, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.00May 16, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.01May 16, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$1.01May 16, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$1.01May 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.01May 16, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".