MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Resolves in 9h — verify the source
Verify
2Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Momentum observation
Momentum
3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
4Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Resolves in 18h — verify the source
Verify
5Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Momentum observation
Momentum
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Top read
24h Δ 15.0pp, 1h Δ 2.0pp · Turnover 5.6× liquidity
2Open
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
24h Δ 10.4pp, 1h Δ 0.1pp · Turnover 2.1× liquidity
3Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
24h Δ 4.2pp, 1h Δ 0.4pp · Turnover 7.9× liquidity
4Open
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
24h Δ 1.9pp · 1h Δ -1.1pp
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?UMA PENDING
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA PENDING
High
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandUMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?UMA PENDING
High
Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State ValkyriesUMA PENDING
High
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 95/84 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 87 | 95/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 83 | 75/85 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 75 | 54/92 90/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 72 | 53/92 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 1, 2026
Read full brief - Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? probability up 15.0pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs resolves in 9h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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