High
Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
2Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
3Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Resolution-risk observation — settlement caveat
Verify
4Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Resolves in 22h — verify the source
Verify
5Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Divergence observation
Divergence
MARKET PULSE
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
8% 7.0pp
24h volume
$1.2M
Orrery Pulse0% current0-72% 7D range-50.0pp net move
98%73%49%24%0%
0%
Jun 10%-50.0pp from start
May 25May 26May 27May 28May 29May 30May 31Jun 1
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Top read
24h Δ -7.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.6× liquidity
2Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -2.0pp · Turnover 1.6× liquidity
3Open
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
24h Δ 15.0pp · 1h Δ -2.0pp
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesUMA PENDING
High
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandUMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesUMA PENDING
High
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
High
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsPAST EVENT
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 85/94 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 76/90 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 73 | 61/83 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 67 | 52/82 66/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 1, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 33.4pp on $1.0M of 24h volume.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 85% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? resolves in 22h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (1)
WATCHLIST DELTA
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