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Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
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RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsUMA PENDING
High
High
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland GuardiansUMA PENDING
High
High
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta BravesUMA PENDING
High
High
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota TwinsUMA PENDING
High
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington NationalsUMA PENDING
High
High
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
San Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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Sabres vs. CanadiensPAST EVENT
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 80/79 70/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 72 | 49/99 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 68 | 50/81 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Starmer out by June 30, 2026? probability up 37.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026? shows a divergence pattern at 80% evidence — verify on the market.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (3)
WATCHLIST DELTA
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