UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.2pp

24h Vol

$2.9K

Liquidity

$5.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
to the listed player who wins the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament
Link
pgatour.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 17:00May 3, 2026, 11:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 11:43Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolved 12h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+0.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -49.1pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).

Show top 8 of 10 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · -19.6pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -19.6pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -19.4pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -19.3pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -49.1pp → 1¢
  • 3d ago · -47.3pp → 1¢
  • 3d ago · -15.8pp → 1¢
  • 3d ago · -48.9pp → 1¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventPGA Tour: Cadillac Championship Winner
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Cadillac Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Cadillac Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

17 wallets
Open on Polymarket