2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of QBs drafted O/U 9.5
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-31.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$12.81
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 31pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 88.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.4h
- 12:35SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 51¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 51¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 51¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 51¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 51¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 51¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 51¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 51¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 51¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.0pp
to 83¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 84¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 9.5 players listed as a quarterback per the official 2026 draft results posted by the NFL are drafted during all rounds of the 2026 NFL Draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. In the event that a player is listed as more than one position, their drafting will be counted only as the first position listed according to the NFL Draft Board. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many quarterbacks have been drafted by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the "Under". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (88.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).