SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 7, 2026
Creator

Will Atlético de San Luis win Liga MX?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.4pp

24h Vol

$405.99

Liquidity

$224.2K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 7, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-29.4pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 21:00May 2, 2026, 20:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 847.8h

    LOW
  • 20:12Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -47.6pp at 2d ago (to 2¢).

Show top 8 of 47 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -45.6pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -47.6pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -47.1pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -46.1pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -27.6pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -27.6pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -27.6pp → 2¢
  • 2d ago · -27.6pp → 2¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Liga MX. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Liga MX per the rules of Liga MX (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Liga MX; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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