Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Probability
86¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$2.40
Liquidity
$8.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+42.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14777.7h
- 11:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14778h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 85¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 85¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 86¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 85¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 87¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 84¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 83¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 85¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 85¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 76¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arcium's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Arcium will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arcium (https://x.com/Arcium) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".https://polymarket.com/event/betmoar-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).