Spread: CA Barracas Central (-2.5)
Probability
49¢
1h
+4.3pp
24h
+11.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$8.07
Probability (last 7 days)
+17.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 49¢; +4.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 95.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 49¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 45¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 48¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 47¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 48¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 48¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.2pp
to 49¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.9pp
to 47¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.3pp
to 49¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.6pp
to 48¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 50¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.7pp
to 50¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 41¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.3pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 14¢-31.4pp
Spread: CA Barracas Central (-1.5)
Other · Vol $71.80
- 27¢+0.9pp
Spread: CA Banfield (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢+8.9pp
Spread: CA Banfield (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 46¢0.0pp
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢+1.4pp
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 49¢-0.9pp
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-13.3pp
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢+0.1pp
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢-8.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.6M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 50¢-8.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 92¢+27.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $949.8K
Market Description
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for March 6 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Barracas Central" if CA Barracas Central win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CA Banfield". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligaprofesional.ar. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.ligaprofesional.ar/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (95.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
3 wallets- Same-Pound161