Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Comesana
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$7.02
Liquidity
$2.00
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 98.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 163.3h
- 13:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 50¢0.0pp
Buse vs. Comesana: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Buse vs. Comesana: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Buse vs. Comesana: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+22.5pp
Ignacio Buse vs. Francisco Comesana: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Buse vs. Comesana: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Buse vs. Comesana: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Buse vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 56¢+5.5pp
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Francisco Comesana
Other · Vol $1.8K
- 94¢-1.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $203.3K
- 32¢+3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $193.0K
- 0¢+0.1pp
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Other · Vol $171.7K
- 1¢-1.7pp
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
Other · Vol $168.7K
- 98¢-0.5pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $144.7K
- 0¢+0.3pp
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Other · Vol $136.4K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Francisco Comesana in the Aix en Provence, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Buse” if Ignacio Buse wins the first set. It will resolve to “Comesana” if Francisco Comesana wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.