Set 1 Winner: Guerrieri vs Tiffon

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Wide spread — 93.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

3. 3

   UMA status: proposed

   An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Pol Martin Tiffon in the Rome, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Guerrieri” if Andrea Guerrieri wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tiffon” if Pol Martin Tiffon wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.