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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Andrea Guerrieri vs. Pol Martin Tiffon: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Probability

51¢

1h

+10.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$16.39

Liquidity

$0.06

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 00:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:13
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 99.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 165.8h

    LOW
  • 15:13Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Pol Martin Tiffon in the Rome, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

3 wallets