ASP Promitheas vs. Iraklis
Probability
66¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
+7.0pp
24h Vol
$1.4K
Liquidity
$4.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 66¢; -4.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 168h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 168.4h
- 14:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 168h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 69¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 75¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 69¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 61¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 60¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 61¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 60¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 55¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 60¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 60¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 62¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 65¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 63¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 63¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 54¢-6.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.5M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 52¢-6.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 93¢+27.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $897.5K
Market Description
In the upcoming Greek Basketball League game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:15AM ET: If the ASP Promitheas win, the market will resolve to "ASP Promitheas". If the Iraklis win, the market will resolve to "Iraklis". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.esake.gr/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).