UnclassifiedExpires Apr 25, 2026

Club Guabirá vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5

Probability

28¢

1h

-33.0pp

24h

-38.5pp

24h Vol

$813.65

Liquidity

$469.16

Probability (last 7 days)

-21.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 26, 2026, 00:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 39pp over 24h

    Now 28¢; -33.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:38Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 23:30Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-16.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

Biggest hourly move: +21.5pp at 14:00 (to 71¢).

Show top 8 of 32 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · +17.5pp → 67¢
  • 15:00 · +19.0pp → 68¢
  • 14:00 · +21.5pp → 71¢
  • 12:00 · +18.0pp → 67¢
  • 11:00 · +19.0pp → 68¢
  • 09:00 · +18.5pp → 68¢
  • 08:00 · +20.0pp → 69¢
  • 02:00 · +17.5pp → 67¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club Guabirá and Club Always Ready, scheduled for April 25 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Club Guabirá and Club Always Ready combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on lfpb.com.bo. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.