Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Probability
1¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$174.30
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14782.8h
- 06:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14783h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).