Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)
Probability
3¢
1h
-1.4pp
24h
-7.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$52.67
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 8pp over 24h
Now 3¢; -1.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:47SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 22:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
-7.8pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Biggest hourly move: -21.0pp at 2d ago (to 13¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 23:47 · -9.3pp → 3¢
- 22:00 · +5.5pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · -21.0pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · -10.0pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · -6.5pp → 13¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 23¢+5.0pp
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
Other · Vol $2.94
- 19¢+12.5pp
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+46.5pp
Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢-16.5pp
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 17¢-27.5pp
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $730.35
- 5¢-18.5pp
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $218.52
- 3¢-7.4pp
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $325.37
- 34¢-16.5pp
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $1.5K
- 2¢+0.7pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $372.3K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $287.6K
- 0¢-1.6pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $279.6K
- 86¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $231.3K
- 1¢-7.3pp
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $227.3K
- 0¢-28.4pp
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $206.1K
Market Description
In the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for April 25 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Universidad Católica" if CD Universidad Católica win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CF Universidad de Chile". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on anfp.cl. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.