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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 2, 2026

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings - Most Sixes Draw

Probability

1h

-8.8pp

24h

-44.5pp

24h Vol

$191.50

Liquidity

$181.58

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 45pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; -8.8pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 158h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $182 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 158.0h

    LOW
  • 16:02Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 158h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:02Price

    Probability down -44.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -42.4pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -24.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -25.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -38.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -38.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Delhi Capitals and Punjab Kings scheduled for 2026-04-25 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Delhi Capitals will be considered correct if Delhi Capitals is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Punjab Kings.The outcome corresponding to Punjab Kings will be considered correct if Punjab Kings is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Delhi Capitals. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw". The market will resolve according to the team that hits the greater number of sixes in the match regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)/ Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery- legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count. Sixes scored in a super over do not count. In First Class games, only first innings sixes will count. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official sixes statistics being recorded, the market will resolve "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
the finalized match statistics as published by https://wwwAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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