T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand - Who wins the toss?
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$104.22
Liquidity
$21.55
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 52¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 88.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 173.7h
- 03:19SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+4.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Biggest hourly move: -22.0pp at 2d ago (to 29¢).
Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -18.5pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · -18.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 29¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 29¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the pre-match coin toss for the cricket match between Bangladesh and New Zealand scheduled for 2026-04-27 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand. This market resolves according to the official coin toss result (the team recorded as having won the toss) as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. If an official toss winner is recorded, the market will resolve based on that result even if the match is subsequently delayed, relocated, abandoned, or no ball is bowled. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open and resolve according to the toss result for the listed fixture when it is eventually played. If the fixture is permanently canceled, forfeited before any toss is conducted, or otherwise completed without an official toss winner being recorded, the market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (88.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
2 wallets- 0x6268…e9a9104