Counter-Strike: NRG vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$139.99
Liquidity
$6.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $6.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 0h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:57ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.4h
- 00:34SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+49.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between NRG and LAG Gaming in the FRAG Group B, initially scheduled for April 25 at 4:57PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG win Map 2 against LAG Gaming. This market will resolve to "LAG Gaming" if LAG Gaming win Map 2 against NRG. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.