Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs AGA - Map 1 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+5.9pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$610.91
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:20ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.3h
- 20:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+49.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Passion UA and AGA in the FRAG Group C, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Passion UA" if Passion UA win Map 1 against AGA. This market will resolve to "AGA" if AGA win Map 1 against Passion UA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.