Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+36.4pp
24h Vol
$11.15
Liquidity
$32.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+43.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 36pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Expiry in 3h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 18:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.2h
- 14:46SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 50¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 71¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 71¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 63¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 64¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 64¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 63¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 71¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Sinners and Inner Circle Academy in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners wins 2 or more maps than Inner Circle Academy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).