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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+36.4pp

24h Vol

$11.15

Liquidity

$32.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+43.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:46
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 36pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 18:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.2h

    HIGH
  • 14:46Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Sinners and Inner Circle Academy in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners wins 2 or more maps than Inner Circle Academy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets