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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+23.4pp

24h Vol

$1.3K

Liquidity

$258.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+33.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 23pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  4. 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:23Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:23Price

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolved 0h ago

    HIGH
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Sinners and Inner Circle Academy in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 2 against Inner Circle Academy. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy" if Inner Circle Academy win Map 2 against Sinners. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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