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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Probability

1h

-25.0pp

24h

-23.0pp

24h Vol

$927.17

Liquidity

$2.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-32.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 23pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; -25.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 11.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 18:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.1h

    HIGH
  • 12:53Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Sinners and Inner Circle Academy in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Sinners and Inner Circle Academy play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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