UnclassifiedExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)

Probability

19¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-18.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 26, 2026, 01:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 19¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 16h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 16.3h

    HIGH
  • 01:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 19¢.

Biggest hourly move: -23.5pp at 2d ago (to 21¢).

Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
  • 17:00 · -6.0pp → 20¢
  • 15:00 · -6.0pp → 20¢
  • 14:00 · -6.0pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -23.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -16.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -16.5pp → 21¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 18¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Denmark Superliga game, scheduled for April 26 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Midtjylland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on superligaen.dk. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.