UnclassifiedExpires Apr 28, 2026

El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: O/U 4.5

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$331.17

Liquidity

$325.81

Probability (last 7 days)

-29.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 26, 2026, 01:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $326 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 63h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 63 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 63.1h

    HIGH
  • 01:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.

Biggest hourly move: -28.5pp at 01:51 (to 7¢).

Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
  • 01:51 · -28.5pp → 7¢
  • 00:00 · -28.0pp → 8¢
  • 22:00 · -28.0pp → 8¢
  • 21:00 · -27.5pp → 8¢
  • 20:00 · -27.5pp → 8¢
  • 19:00 · -27.5pp → 8¢
  • 17:00 · -28.0pp → 8¢
  • 15:00 · -27.0pp → 9¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between El Mokawloon El Arab SC and Ghazl El Mahalla SC, scheduled for April 28 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if El Mokawloon El Arab SC and Ghazl El Mahalla SC combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on efa.com.eg. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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