Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
98¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+42.4pp
24h Vol
$302.98
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+52.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 42pp over 24h
Now 98¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 13:16PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.0pp
to 98¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 89¢
- 11:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 56¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Grimsby Town FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.efl.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).