Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play - Game 1 Winner
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+6.0pp
24h Vol
$857.16
Liquidity
$224.24
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 78.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 24.7h
- 16:16SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:16PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 43¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 44¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 44¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 44¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 44¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 22¢-5.5pp
Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play (BO5) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1
Other · Vol $162.00
- 44¢+5.0pp
Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $0.00
- 44¢+5.0pp
Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play - Game 3 Winner
Other · Vol $0.00
- 44¢+0.5pp
Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play - Game 4 Winner
Other · Vol $0.00
- 56¢-5.5pp
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 40¢+9.0pp
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢-7.0pp
Game Handicap: AG.SP (-1.5) vs Rogue Warriors (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 44¢+6.5pp
Game Handicap: AG.SP (-2.5) vs Rogue Warriors (+2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 1¢-1.2pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Rogue Warriors and AG Super Play in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win Game 1 against AG Super Play. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win Game 1 against Rogue Warriors. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_PageNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (78.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).