Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play (BO5) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1
Probability
15¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
-12.5pp
24h Vol
$193.73
Liquidity
$5.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-36.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 13pp over 24h
Now 15¢; -2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 24.9h
- 18:03SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-13.0pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.
Biggest hourly move: -23.5pp at 2d ago (to 28¢).
Show all 7 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:03 · -13.0pp → 14¢
- 17:00 · -10.0pp → 18¢
- 15:00 · -12.5pp → 15¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Rogue Warriors and AG Super Play in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win the match against AG Super Play. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win the match against Rogue Warriors. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusliquipedia.net
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.