Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play - Game 2 Winner
Probability
44¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$221.06
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 79.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 23h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.9h
- 18:03SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 2d ago (to 38¢).
Show all 25 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:03 · +5.0pp → 44¢
- 17:00 · +5.0pp → 44¢
- 15:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 14:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 12:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 11:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 09:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 08:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 06:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 05:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 03:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 02:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 00:00 · +6.0pp → 44¢
- 22:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 21:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 20:00 · +5.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -14.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · -13.0pp → 39¢
- 3d ago · -13.0pp → 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Rogue Warriors and AG Super Play in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win Game 2 against AG Super Play. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win Game 2 against Rogue Warriors. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusliquipedia.net
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (79.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.