SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Honor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play - Game 4 Winner

Probability

44¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$163.30

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 79.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 25h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 24.9h

    HIGH
  • 18:05Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.

Biggest hourly move: -7.0pp at 2d ago (to 43¢).

Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -4.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventHonor of Kings: Rogue Warriors vs AG Super Play (BO5) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the Honor of Kings Round 1 match between Rogue Warriors and AG Super Play in the Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rogue Warriors" if Rogue Warriors win Game 4 against AG Super Play. This market will resolve to "AG Super Play" if AG Super Play win Game 4 against Rogue Warriors. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/honorofkings/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
liquipedia.net
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (79.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket