Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$26.00
Liquidity
$434.64
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $435 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6015.2h
- 13:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hurupay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hurupay (https://x.com/HurupayApp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).