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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)

Probability

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-14.0pp

24h Vol

$20.48

Liquidity

$2.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 175.4h

    LOW
  • 11:35Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 175h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:35Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -17.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -23.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -25.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -24.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -27.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -28.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for May 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Osasuna" if CA Osasuna win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Barcelona". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.laliga.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).