Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Probability
100¢
1h
+1.4pp
24h
+25.9pp
24h Vol
$161.52
Liquidity
$260.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 26pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +1.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 25.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:38SignalHIGH
Momentum up
Probability moved up 25.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 20:38SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 20:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
+25.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +49.5pp at 17:00 (to 100¢).
Show all 28 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +49.5pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +43.3pp → 94¢
- 17:00 · +49.5pp → 100¢
- 13:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 12:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 10:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 09:00 · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 08:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 06:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 05:00 · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 03:00 · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 02:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 00:00 · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 22:00 · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +24.0pp → 75¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 75¢
- 2d ago · +24.5pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · +24.0pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 74¢
- 2d ago · +22.0pp → 71¢
- 2d ago · +20.5pp → 71¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. Once a team claims the Dragon Soul (by slaying four dragons), all subsequent dragon spawns become Elder Dragons. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both LOS and RED Canids each slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay any elemental dragon during Game 1. Only elemental dragons count toward this market — Elder Dragon kills do not count. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain at least one elemental dragon prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.